UK: historical heat wave could break 40 degrees today

Met Office UK said the country could reach 40 ° C due to the heat wave in the UK which will peak today

by Lorenzo Ciotti
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UK: historical heat wave could break 40 degrees today

Met Office UK said the country could reach 40 ° C due to the heat wave in the UK which will peak today. Heat wave of historical proportions, and which has already set records in Spain and France, and could soon set others in Italy, Germany and Scandinavia.

The likelihood of a heat wave in the UK reaching temperatures of 40 degrees was much lower 50 years ago than it is today. In 1971 it was an event that could occur once every 1000 years. In 2022, the probability is once every 86 years.

This mirrors the climate crisis and consequent global warming. The frequency will rise to once every 4 years. According to the Met Office, people living in areas where the red alert is active are at risk of "serious illness or life-threatening".

Vulnerable people, such as the elderly, the very young, or people with risky health conditions should take extra precautions to stay safe.

UK: Historic heat wave could break 40 degrees today

Nikos Christidis of the Met Office explained: "We were hoping not to get to this situation, but for the first time ever we expect more than 40 ° C in the UK.

In a recent study we found that the likelihood of extremely warm days in the UK is increased and will continue to increase over the course of the century. The odds of seeing 40 ° C days in the UK could be 10 times more likely in the current climate than in a natural, non-human-influenced climate." The UK's heatwave record is 38.7 ° C, reached at the Cambridge Botanic Garden on 25 July 2019.

According to the Met Office, some of the models in use give a 50% chance of exceeding 40 degrees in some areas of the country, while there is an 80% chance of beating the heat record. Between Saturday 23 and Sunday 24 July 2022, temperatures will peak with record extremes in many areas of central Europe.

In Italy and Germany, but also in Scandinavia, while in Andalusia it will reach 44 ° C. The freezing point will once again rise well above 4000 meters in height; usually in this season it is around 3200 meters, for a few days. Bad news for the glaciers of the Alps.